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在经济疲软时期,政策决策者需要知道"相机抉择"的财政政策对于刺激产出具有什么样的经济效应。相关学者采用线性回归模型、VAR模型等研究方法试图解决这一问题。对此,本文详细综述了财政政策"产出效应"研究方法的演进过程,重点介绍了动态随机一般均衡模型(DSGE模型)兴起的原因。基于DSGE模型的研究框架,本文详细综述了当前财政政策"产出效应"研究的主要问题。最后本文进行了结论性述评,提出了进一步研究的方向,以便为中国财政政策"产出效应"研究提供一些线索。
Abstract：In the period of economic weakness, policy makers need to know what the economic effects of "discretionary" fiscal policy on stimulating output. The linear regression model and VAR model are used by relevant scholars to try to resolve this issue. In this regard, this paper summarized specifically the evolution process of "output effect" research method of fiscal policy, and focused on the arousing reasons of DSGE model. Based on the research framework of DSGE model, the paper reviewed the main problems in the researches of "output effect" of fiscal policy. Finally, the paper put forward some directions for further researches to provide some clues for corresponding researches on the "output effect" of China's fiscal policy.
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基本信息:
DOI：10.14167/j.zjss.2013.03.001
中图分类号:F224;F812.0
引用信息:
[1]朱军.动态随机一般均衡模型中的财政政策研究述评[J].浙江社会科学,2013,No.199(03):47-56+155.DOI:10.14167/j.zjss.2013.03.001.
基金信息:
江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PAPD)
2013-03-15
2013-03-15