浙江社会科学

采用熵值法分别综合刻画中国沿海地区海洋科技能力和海洋经济发展系统质量,然后运用协调度模型评价2006~2013年海洋科技能力与海洋经济的协调性演进。结果表明:(1)长三角2006~2011年海洋科技能力综合得分整体呈现大幅上升趋势,沿海省市科技均正向发展,科研水平状况渐好。(2)除上海外,其他沿海7省份2006~2013年海洋经济发展水平整体呈现逐渐上升趋势,且经济发展轨迹相对集中、经济发展水平呈较强一致性。(3)长三角2006~2013年海洋科技能力和海洋经济的协调水平呈现高级协调-中级协调-高级协调的演替状态。其中,2006~2008年协调度虽处于高度协调,但两系统各自的发展均处在较低水平;2008~2011年海洋科技能力发展快于海洋经济发展速度,两系统协调度处于中级协调上下波动;2011~2013年两系统同步发展,协调度呈现高度发展态势。(4)长三角两省一市协调度发展呈现显著性差异,上海海洋科技-经济协调度受金融危机影响严重、浙江省海洋科技-经济发展协调性呈前期缓慢增长但后来居上、江苏省海洋科技-经济发展协调度最优。

Based on the marine science & technology and marine economy data from 2006 to 2013, this article is to set up the development evaluation index system and the marine science & technology-marine economy coordinative degree model, which aims to analyze the coordinative development level quantitatively among marine science and technology capability and marine economy in Yangtze River Delta. The results show that the coordinative development level among marine science and technology capability and marine economic development system has experienced the following changes:1) From 2006 to 2011, the overall score of marine science & technology comprehensive performance showed a significant upward trend, the coastal provinces and cities are developing science and technology, the level of scientific research situation is getting better. 2)From 2006 to 2013, in addition to Shanghai, the overall level of marine economic development is gradually rising trend in the other seven coastal provinces, and the relative concentration of economic development trajectory, the level of economic development was strong consistency. 3) The coordinative development level of marine science & technology and marine economy tended to enter the transition process from high-level coordination to middle-level coordination then to high-level coordination during the period from2006 to 2013. From 2006 to 2008, the coordinative development level is very high as a result of the low development level both in marine science & technology and marine economy. The development of marine science and technology capacity is faster than that of marine economy from 2008 to 2011 and the coordinative degree of the two systems is fluctuating at the middle-level coordination. The development level from 2011 to 2013 improved at the same speedand the coordinative degree of the two systems showed a trend of rapid development. 4) The coordinative development of the Yangtze River Delta showed a significant difference. The coordinative degree of Shanghai was seriously affected by the financial crisis. The coordinative degree of Zhejiang increased slowly in the early period, but caught up from behind, the coordinative degree of Jiangsu was optimal.